Since my first post on the state of the presidential race, I have updated the weightings of states to calculate the popular vote from the state polls.  Originally, I weighted each state’s contribution to total voter turnout based on the Highest Office voter turnout per state in 2008.  Now, I’m weighting states based on the estimated [...]

National and state polls have been all over the place since the beginning of September.  As of this post, the Gallup tracking poll has governor Romney up by 4% while the Rand tracking poll has president Obama up by 6%. All of the other national polls are between these extremes.  Indeed, today the HuffPost Model [...]